Avatar NFT Rating Method: Use the MekaVerse NFT bubble burst as an example.

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如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

Floor prices have dropped from almost 10 ETH to 1 ETH now.

NFT continues to operate.

In the application layer, we learn a lot of new things every day (especially low-diffusion NFT avatars) but at the same time we say goodbye or we forget more "old jobs". From an enthusiast's point of view, having an NFT avatar is a product that is driven by the desired consumer, and when there is no emotion can not stand the "time of love", it is difficult to replace an avatar that was sold with or without a flashy project host. The spell from the bottom of the box. However, from the marketer's perspective, the description of NFT profile picture may become more accurate due to some market knowledge.

DappRadar, which has a wide range of data and frequently released research data, recently conducted a specialized study on NFTs MekaVerse and sought a solution to the process of testing NFTs collected from the pulse of this "numerous project. ".

More than a month after the release of MekaVerse NFT, the hype surrounding the NFT series seems to no longer exist. As the bubble dissipated and the current effectiveness of NFTs was not guaranteed, the floor price of this series of NFTs fell from nearly 10ETH to the current 1ETH. If we still think it is the original author, we have to consider the fact. How do you measure MekaVerse NFT?

MekaVerse is a collection of 8,888 randomly generated NFT avatars from the Ethereum blockchain, inspired by the word "mecha" used in Japanese culture to describe massive humanoid robots moving by humans and one of the commonly needed NFT series. . The formation of Mechas is very popular and will never be forgotten by manga like Gundam and Evangelion or modern films like Pacific Rim.

In fact, the procedure for filtering an NFT record will take into account the following elements: First, we will determine the specifics and the margins in order to identify each element of the NFT record. There is a harmony of the works of art, but in fact it is very subjective. Next, in order to identify the collection as an NFT project, we determined several factors, including the impact of having one or more projects, the communities around the project, groups and product distributions. It is very important to take into account the evolution of projects over time.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

MekaVerse: write content

After experiencing the “NFT Madness” this summer, we now know that the NFT avatar series is growing in popularity and many people post their avatar image in their personal files. At the same time, owners can earn thousands or millions of dollars in income from the collection. With that in mind, the MekaVerse series could be the next generation of NFT. In fact, before its announcement, MekaVerse had over 100,000 members in the Discord community, as it created a huge hype after previewing its artwork.

In order to avoid the "fuel price war", the MekaVerse team decided to use the lottery to be fair and allow a coin issuer at a rate of 0.2 ETH. The lottery took place on October 7, 2021 with 5,453 owners and launched nearly 8,600 mechas. After casting was completed, the price of MekaVerse NFT jumped to 9ETH in the Second Market, but the launch of MekaVerse NFT was delayed for a week due to issues with MekaV's high-quality 3D drawing capability.

But since then, rumors of a fair lottery have started to spread on social media. In fact, this rumor arose from the tweet that some wallets are special for certain customs, and that custom has a very high level before their final metadata is released, so there is incorrect information. At this time, internal data in the NFT field immediately became a hot topic. In fact, just a few weeks ago, a member of the famous OpenSea got involved in this review. According to rumors, the value of Mecca started to drop, and of course, it could only be used as a pure avatar, and no performance was the main reason for the price drop. .

US low prices fell to 1 ETH and stayed there for at least two weeks. Despite these recent events, MekaVerse is still in 15th place in the NFT packaging category, having raised more than $ 153.5 million since its launch 35 days ago.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

Behavioral analysis of mechanics

The following analysis is based on data from over 9,000 MekaVerse businesses, including 5,103 custom sales from secondary businesses. Used to identify specific patterns in NFT operations.

These 8,888 mechas are made up of 236 different combinations and 10 elements including a palette of colors. For use, 4 of the 8,888 mechas were already in Legendary status and joined several groups, so they were excluded from the screening.

The self-assessment gives you a rough idea of ​​the least important role in each collection. This identification process can also be an opportunity to discover the characteristics of the components sold at a higher price.

The most obvious characteristic of MekaVerse is the type of behavior. In randomly generated collections, hierarchical classification is usually the primary measurement tool. MekaVerse has 4 custom variants depending on their rarity: OG Meka (50.31%), Mirage (21.46%), Gādian (16.29%) and F9 (11.88%).

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

After analyzing the sales status and the differences between the different types of Mecca, we found that this changes with the exchange rates. As expected, the average selling price of the OG Meka (US $ 17,000) is generally lower than the average selling price of the F9 (US $ 25,530). This also coincides with the rarity of the different types of mecha mentioned earlier.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

However, different values ​​at different levels do not have to be rare. For example, after the metadata was released (October 15), the average selling price of OG Mechas immediately after the metadata was released was $ 9,203 and the average selling price of F9 was $ 15,288. It can be clearly seen that the prices of some levels of Meka collections are dropping, and in most cases, the distribution and distribution prices are similar.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

Another characteristic identifies "ear" behavior. Surprisingly, 76.6% of Mechas don't carry weapons, but that's not significant considering the price difference in the collection.

In this case, the structure before and after the presentation of metadata does not change significantly. An unarmed mech costs around US $ 12,800. Rare weapons like the MI Ray Gun (1.41%), the OG Kannons (2.1%) or the OG Smiley K1 (0.92%) have an average market value of less than $ 14,000 even though they are are relatively low. Meanwhile, the average sale price of Miutopia (0.14%) and OG Cannonbrick (0.27%) is $ 85,000 and $ 101,000, respectively. Unlike OG and Mirage, weapons do not increase the price of Gādian and F9 in Meka.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

When measuring the value of Meka, the material is another important attribute with heavy weight. Some of the rare occurrences of the MekaVerse series that are most commonly used are Gold (0.07%), Total Silver (0.12%), and Natural (0.18%). There is no doubt that working with this information has the highest average eye. The price of MekaVerse floors with "long" material can be as high as 18 ETH, while MekaVerse floors with gold and silver materials cost a total of 50 ETH and 60 ETH. ETH, according to.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

Due to the high level of OG mechas, this type of mecha is still expensive even though it has no variants. Meka's prices are below 6.5 ETH, or around $ 30,700 at the time of writing.

Besides scarcity, Mecca's color scheme is another factor that affects the price. Light Green (4.55%) and Yellow (6.24%) Mechs have higher retail prices, and these two colors only appear in OG Mechs. In addition, the selling prices of black (5.37%) and dark brown (15.97%) Mecha are also very high.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

Meka products usually do not affect the price, but there are special products, for example Meka price with OG Glowing Eyes Brick (0.4%), OG Eye Brick (0.52%) or MI Red Visor (0 , 41). ) is higher than the rest of the series. The OG Meka series has the lowest price of 6ETH and the Red Visor Mirage has the lowest price of 3.5ETH, and the average turnover of OG Helmet Brick (0.97%) can reach $ 80,000. Americans.

Overall, an analysis of the role of Meka can provide information about the analysis, and some of the related activities play a very important role as well. Compared to rare, the cost of mecha with a special combination of features is also very high. As mentioned earlier, scarcity is important due to the ability of NFT graphics, but something else has to be decided to measure the cost of the finished print.

Value measurement strategies

After examining the characteristics of the Mecca Self-Measure, we will continue to study other factors that affect the collection from a macro perspective. At the same time, these points will also become an important basis for your project, so they deserve special attention.

One of the downsides of the Mekaverse is that it is extremely straightforward and usable. Recently the goals of many NFT projects have changed and they hope to provide “benefits” to NFT owners by streamlining the project, and not just donating coins for bad income.

In the past, MekaVerse has announced that it will launch an airdrop (likely following the path of Larva Labs, the group behind CryptoPunks). Meka NFT owners will have the opportunity to receive the second project in the NFT MekaBot series. The drop ratio is 1: 1, and snapshot data has yet to be released.

In addition to the announcement of the Meka Bot, there are other important details in the development process of MekaVerse. For example, Mekaverse plans to launch a 3D printing service that will turn any Meka into a real doll, and even be able to place goods and clothing around certain jobs.

It should be noted that the future of the MekaVerse project remains uncertain. So far, the project has not been very successful. If the games made by MekaVerse can level up, there might be a flaw.

MekaVerse Community and Behind-the-Scenes Groups

For NFT projects, community is undoubtedly an important part of its success, but in this regard the MekaVerse community does not seem very mature. Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) or Cool Cats and other major NFTs have greater community growth.

Not only that, but the performance of MekaVerse's Discord community doesn't seem to be doing well. As of October of this year, the community project Discord had around 245,000 members, but continued negative growth has led more than 30,000 members to leave the group. Despite having 211,000 members, MekaVerse is still one of the largest communities in the NFT Discord arena.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

Another important step is the team behind the MekaVerse project. Mattey Braccini and Matty Braccini are the founders of MekaVerse. Both are 3D artists in Paris. They were working in NFT before the start of the project. Visit the MekaVerse website. MekaVerse's main group also includes digital artist and NFT author Julien Dorland, who now hosts group events on social platforms.

The rumor of a fair match may not be fully resolved, but it's good that students and design teams are fully open.

Mecca NFT distribution by law

The first thing to focus on is measuring an independent portfolio. At the time of writing, 5,134 independent portfolios have at least one Meka and the share of independent holders in MekaVerse is 57.82%. This is a very good indicator, you have to know it. The percentage of independent persons of BAYC is 57.53%.

Next, let's identify MekaVerse for the “whale monopoly” problem. The portfolio of the top 5 holders of MekaVerse is only 182 US, and the “Whale Concentration Index” is only 2.04%, indicating the level of the position. Decentralization is high, but since MekaVerse is a recently launched NFT series, this number is now also available.

如何给头像类NFT估值:以泡沫破碎的MekaVerse NFT为例

concludes

MekaVerse is a "non-profit" NFT project. The project received a huge market share on the first day of publication, but the scale of the market was flattened.

There is no "standard model" for estimating mecha prices, but some like rarity, make, weapon, material, color, etc. play an important role in the measurement process. There will be a combined exam during the MekaVerse exam as written.

Although NFT is growing rapidly, the entire industry is still in its infancy, and from a visual standpoint, MekaVerse is still appealing.

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