Benefits of rational selection: evaluation of three types of monetary development logics and strategies

币圈二三事 view 12 2021-9-18 13:21
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逻辑选择的后果:币圈3种发展逻辑与估值

The growth of today's economy is diverse and colorful. More and more new coins are released every day, and more and more virtual currencies make it harder to choose a coin. If you do some research on known results, you will immediately see that the highest ranking income is unknown. . If you hunt for gold, no side can be avoided, and the circle of conflict is unforgivable: sesame seeds and fallen tomatoes. Therefore, Blues believes in the need for a more macroscopic investment model to develop the entire structure and path of self-investment capital and develop an optimized portfolio strategy. You might not be able to keep up with 100x and 1000x currencies, but under similar circumstances you can guarantee a better return on your investment. How to create an idea together? Naturally, you need to have a good understanding of the development of business advantages, and based on this experience, you can design any models.

Before talking about the growth of economic benefits, let's first give an example to show how national development works. The downside to choice.

逻辑选择的后果:币圈3种发展逻辑与估值

For example, let's look at the differences between the different development approaches in Japan and Germany over the past 35 years. I know that the defeated countries, Japan and Germany, came back to life soon after WWII, and the fastest growing country any country has achieved. The reason is simple. The rise of these two countries was necessary for the United States to end the Cold War with the Soviet Union, open up trade and provide technology. Very loudly and slowly began to oppose the special economy in the United States. Both countries have lower prices and the United States have higher prices.

The United States believed that Japan and Germany had benefited from the United States. Thus, since the 1960s, industrial conflicts such as the "textile war", "the steel industry", "color television friction" and "the automobile friction industry" have continued. However, these measures have not yet identified the major economies of Japan and Germany, and the final strategy of the United States has emerged. In 1985, the financial leaders of the United States, Great Britain, Germany, France and Japan signed the "Plaza Agreement". The New York Plaza Hotel has raised exchange rates to reduce the quality of exports and rebound business costs.

Yes, that would damage the original idea of ​​economic development between the two countries. When the benefits of the two countries are cheap, it is clear that not only the international countries are willing to buy the goods of the two countries, but also the household members will not buy the American luxury goods and will love them. Inexpensive home business products. However, if the exchange rate increases, the old value disappears. In 1986, the year after the agreement was signed, Japan's export growth fell from 3.9% to -16.8%, and exports fell to 1/6. And Germany's exports have also fallen, halving GDP growth for several consecutive years.

In this case, it is necessary to replace the initial national economic development strategy of the two countries. Since then, a similar development in the two countries has been isolated. What is the Japanese idea? Good finances. We quickly reduce interest rates to low interest rates and maintain an interest free rate on an annual basis. Businesses take advantage of the benefits to buy offshore assets and build offshore factories. At the same time, low interest rates are imposed for domestic use. It is not necessary to save money, to increase domestic demand. Anyone who knows the story should know that China is also one of the beneficiaries of this economic transformation, with many industries including China and important technologies transferred to China and Asia. So, as we all know today, it's not very good, it's called "Japan's 30th birthday". It has increased over the past 10 years, but has declined by around 17%. "The advertising costs and the price drops are immediate, and the stock market is in the mud." The United States could use its dollars to replace similar rates, but Japan could not afford it.

逻辑选择的后果:币圈3种发展逻辑与估值

Where did Japan fall? Do you think ordinary people will increase their consumption by donating money to lower interest rates? The banks don't lend them out. The money is in the hands of the rich and big business, we are spending too much. Although foreign investment is low, most is focused on real estate and retail, so real estate investment in Tokyo can only be purchased across the United States when both are high. But the success of the stock and real estate market is often “springtime” and cannot be sustainable. The problems facing the United States are similar. The economy was unable to grow, but it was in decline and ultimately unable to support the economy as a whole, resulting in stagflation and declining GDP.

Germany's approach is a more difficult approach which does not depend on monetary policy and opposes excessive attacks on the currency, but many "invisible" developments at this point, due to changes and stakes. upgraded, and the results aren't cheap. The products are more and more expensive, so they are more likely to buy at a higher price in other countries. A few years later in Germany, as fortunes faded and the end of the Cold War and the unification of East Germany enlarged the size of the national economy, including forcing capital and improving the means of subsistence of its people in the East. (rich and rich countries)), it is the German version of "co-civilization" which enabled Germany to get out of the woods. As you know, East Germany was originally one of the ten most industrialized countries in the world, but after reunification the population not only increased from 50 million to 80 million, but also provides a large number of low-cost industrial population. It lowers the wage expectations of West German workers. In the fall, West Germany is perfect. The current concept of domestic prosperity clearly refers to the historical experience of Germany.

Thus, over the past 30 years, the German economy has developed better than that of Japan and has always been the strongest in Europe. Have you heard of the decline in German GDP? Different approaches to developing national policies have resulted in different phenomena between the two countries. The concept of logic is very important. Different options lead to very different results.

逻辑选择的后果:币圈3种发展逻辑与估值

Yes, the difference between the theory of financial sector development and the logic of national development is that the development of regional currency often reflects the underlying situation of "decentralization" while the development of a country reflects the top- action. Capacity building within a capacity building organization. The first is random, and the development of a technology can cause the average gravity of the currency to change. The latter is optional, no regrets, and the room for modification is limited.

From this point of view, the Blues, who look at business profits, think that the logic of improving business profits can be divided into three.

The first is that of assets. Bitcoin is an important asset. Ethereum has both the power of assets and tokens. Others include POW parts, which are proof of performance. This type of currency really assumes the unique value of the ROI and the bubble value in the total market turnover. The markets will not be the same, especially in the bubble. the price. As with the real economy, the value of the real economy is only a small part of the total investment, and it is close to the bubble which contains many assets.

The second is money. In the past, this (exchange rate intermediaries) was also run by Bitcoin and others. However, in the light of the present, Bitcoin etc. are not a currency, and this will be replaced by more stable short-term currencies and long-term digital currencies. Going forward, this has nothing to do with “coin speculation”.

逻辑选择的后果:币圈3种发展逻辑与估值

The third is a notice. This is the main way of improvement of the currency currency. All kinds of platforms, basically, every platform Dictionary has received the translation form, such as a variety of agents on each platform. Therefore, this gives us information on the calling position. For example, the platform may mark the stake marks with all the amounts of all the money, and then refer to the estimated estimates, including 40 to 50 The appropriate amount of the same area, many bubbles are lower than the value. For example, part of the payment of payment and annual products are $ 1 billion. Knife Capital Capacity is considered 2% and annual income is $ 20 million. Development rapes to 50 times a valuable price is $ 1 billion, and the appropriate amount of calls is US $ 1 / piece. The most loginies are not acceptable now, don't mention this measure. However, these logs are based on future evaluation of high quality, and at least one benefit.

So what are your investment options? We recommend that you choose some of the most valuable assets as the most popular bubble property in the bull market. And what should I watch out for when choosing a token? Like the value proposition mentioned above, the smaller the comparison of value to actual value, the better the investment.

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